I don’t know what I’m more surprised by. The fact the Walk the Line didn’t get nominated for Best Picture or that only 7 of the 12 Enron jurors have college educations. Skilling and Lay are screwed.
Here’s my first pass at Oscar pic picks. Technical categories excluded. And other categories I don’t really care about.
PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE: Joaquin Phoenix will upset Hoffman. This is Philip’s first nomination and Joaquin did not win for Gladiator and should have.
PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE: Clooney won’t win for director or writer, so he should win here.
PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE: Reese, no question. We really don’t want a Desperate Housewife with a penis to win an Oscar.
PERFORMANCE BY AN ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE: At least one foreigner must win every year. This year, it’s Rachel Weisz.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM OF THE YEAR: Wallace & Gromit, hands down. These guys have never lost.
ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTING: Ang Lee.
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE: Murderball. Everyone will be rooting for the Penguins, but the Academy rarely likes to pick the crowd favorite here.
BEST MOTION PICTURE OF THE YEAR: Brokeback Mountain. Yawn.
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY: Brokeback will win since they will get stiffed in the acting categories. Although Capote could get the nod here also.